Image of Planning as Inference in Epidemiological Dynamics Models

Text

Planning as Inference in Epidemiological Dynamics Models



In this work we demonstrate how to automate parts of the infectious disease-control policy-making process via performing inference in existing epidemiological models. The kind of inference tasks undertaken include computing the posterior distribution over controllable, via direct policy-making choices, simulation model parameters that give rise to acceptable disease progression outcomes. Among other things, we illustrate the use of a probabilistic programming language that automates inference in existing simulators. Neither the full capabilities of this tool for automating inference nor its utility for planning is widely disseminated at the current time. Timely gains in understanding about how such simulation-based models and inference automation tools applied in support of policy-making could lead to less economically damaging policy prescriptions, particularly during the current COVID-19 pandemic.


Availability

No copy data


Detail Information

Series Title
-
Call Number
-
Publisher Frontiers in Artificial Intelligence : Switzerland.,
Collation
006
Language
English
ISBN/ISSN
2624-8212
Classification
NONE
Content Type
-
Media Type
-
Carrier Type
-
Edition
-
Subject(s)
Specific Detail Info
-
Statement of Responsibility

Other Information

Accreditation
Scopus Q3

Other version/related

No other version available


File Attachment



Information


Web Online Public Access Catalog - Use the search options to find documents quickly